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Bitcoin's Bounce Back Hinges on Geopolitical Calm: Bitfinex

Bitcoin's Bounce Back Hinges on Geopolitical Calm: Bitfinex

Date: 2025-06-16 20:06:39 | By Edwin Tuttle

Buckle Up: Bitcoin's Wild Ride Post-Israel-Iran Clash Signals a Turnaround, Bitfinex Says

Hold onto your hats, crypto fans! Bitcoin's been on a rollercoaster since the Israel-Iran showdown, but guess what? Bitfinex's latest report screams recovery might be just around the corner!

Bitcoin (BTC) took a nosedive after the recent Israel-Iran drama, sending investors into full-blown risk-off mode. But hold up—Bitfinex's Alpha report dropped on June 16 and it's hinting at a comeback, as long as the global fireworks don't get worse.

Bitcoin kicked off last week strong, soaring 4.7% and flirting with its all-time high of $109,590. But then, bam! Israel hit Iran on June 13 and all hell broke loose, making traders super jittery.

Investors Freaked, But Bitcoin Kept Its Cool: Bitfinex Alpha

Oil prices went nuts too, thanks to fears that a bigger war could mess with oil production, cranking up the economic uncertainty. Right after the attacks, Bitcoin plunged 7.3%, while net taker volume tanked to negative $197 million—total panic mode!

Bitfinex's brainiacs say these big drops in net taker volume scream capitulation—just like we've seen at past market lows. The crypto fear and greed index? It nosedived into "fear" territory, backing up the idea of a bottom in sight.

"This sell-off, mixed with a spike in liquidations, looks a lot like the capitulation we've seen before at local bottoms. If Bitcoin can hang tight in the $102,000–$103,000 zone, it might mean the selling's being soaked up and the market's ready for a bounce back—as long as the geopolitical craziness doesn't ramp up," the Bitfinex Alpha report shouts.

Despite the chaos, the overall market dip's been pretty tame. Bitcoin's peak-to-trough drop was just 9%—way smaller than those wild past plunges. Bitfinex points out that this kind of trading range's been spotted in nearly half the sessions this cycle, so this latest rollercoaster's still within normal bounds.

If Bitcoin holds that $102,000 support and things calm down globally, we might just see a new bullish surge on the horizon!

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