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Kashkari: Fed's eyes on bonds as investors ditch U.S.

Kashkari: Fed's eyes on bonds as investors ditch U.S.

Date: 2025-04-11 14:38:32 | By Gwendolyn Pierce

Fed's Kashkari on CNBC: We're Watching the Markets Like Hawks Amid Inflation Fears and a Sinking Dollar

Holy smokes, folks! Neel Kashkari, the big shot from the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, spilled the beans on CNBC's "Squawk Box." He's got his eyes peeled on the financial rollercoaster, trying to gauge inflation vibes and how much faith investors still have in the good ol' U.S. of A. With bond yields shooting up and the dollar taking a nosedive, it's like a wild west show out there!

Kashkari's scratching his head, saying it's "hard to get a read of what's happening underneath." It's a real mess with economic uncertainty and investors flip-flopping on whether to keep their cash in the U.S. or take it elsewhere.

This Fed dude's on high alert for a potential spike in short-term inflation expectations. He's hell-bent on stopping those short-term jitters from screwing up the long-term economic game plan.

"I'm paying attention to the same market moves you all are," he said, sounding like he's glued to his screen. "The bond market, I'm paying particular attention to try and understand what it's telling us about the underlying inflationary dynamics. And it's a complicated thing to analyze."

Dollar declines raise questions amid trade tensions

Hold onto your hats, because Kashkari also dished on the U.S. dollar's recent plunge. It's got some analysts scratching their heads, especially since the dollar's supposed to be the safe haven when global economic drama unfolds. He's thinking that a weaker dollar, mixed with those sky-high bond yields, might mean investors are losing faith in U.S. assets.

"If investors decide, 'hey, we want to invest elsewhere,' all else equal, that ought to be pushing up yields," he said. "And you'd see that in what we call the term premium."

Kashkari's not ruling out that some of this market madness could be from hedge funds dumping assets left and right as stocks tank. But the bigger picture? It looks like the U.S. might not be the go-to investment spot it used to be.

"I always go back to fundamentals," Kashkari said. "Why do we have a trade deficit in America? It's because investors around the world have viewed America as the best place to invest. If that changes, the whole equation changes."

What it means for crypto markets

Get this, a weakening dollar and all this inflation uncertainty could be music to the ears of Bitcoin (BTC) and other crypto fans. They might start looking like the cool kids on the block as alternative places to stash your cash.

Historically, crypto's been the life of the party during times when fiat money loses its mojo or when people start doubting the traditional financial systems. If investors keep eyeing the U.S. economy with suspicion, those digital assets might just see a flood of cash looking for a new, decentralized home.

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